8:15PM October 17, 2025

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING… Active weather returns to our region Saturday night into Sunday morning as a cold front approaches from the northwest. There is a chance that a few strong to severe thunderstorms will be involved. Most locales across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have rain at times and thunder. A few storms, however, may become severe with gusty winds being the main concern. The tornado risk remains low, but not entirely zero.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY… 11PM Saturday night to 11AM Sunday morning is the current window for strong to severe thunderstorms to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have occasional rain and thunder at times but a few, brief severe storms may become possible from Saturday night into Sunday morning. We encourage everyone to have multiple ways to hear urgent weather warnings just in case a warning becomes required for your specific location.

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK… The western half of our local area is involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid from Saturday night into Sunday morning. Communities WEST of a line from Foley to Walnut Hill to Atmore to Monroeville are involved in the low-end risk zone. This includes places like Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Bayou La Batre, Alabama Port, Wilmer, Dauphin Island, Citronelle, Calvert, Chatom, Millry, Wagerville, Vinegar Bend, Leroy, Jackson, Grove Hill, Thomasville, Whatley, Coffeeville, Perdue Hill, Uriah, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Magnolia Springs, Robertsdale, Silverhill, Summerdale, and Loxley. Communities further to the east like Pensacola, Milton, Brewton, Evergreen, Andalusia, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, and Crestview are involved in the General Thunderstorms zone.

LINE OF STORMS TO APPROACH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT… The reason the western half of our local area is involved in a low-end severe weather risk zone and the eastern half of the region is not involved in a risk zone is because we are expecting a line of thunderstorms to be weakening while crossing the region from west to east. There is a bit of uncertainty as to the strength of the line of storms when it approaches our region. The line may be weak as it approaches west Alabama, and in that case the severe weather risk would probably be quite limited across the region. If the line of storms is a bit stronger on approach, there is a chance that a few stronger storms may happen across the region as the line progresses eastward.

BENEFICIAL RAIN EXPECTED… Drought conditions across south Alabama and northwest Florida continue to worsen each day due to a significant lack of rainfall. This event on Saturday night into Sunday should help to at least put a dent into drought conditions with MOST communities across the region now projected to pick up between 0.5″ and 1.5″ of rainfall in total through Sunday.

COOLER TEMPS COMING SUNDAY NIGHT… A cold front approaching the local area is the forcing mechanism responsible for this low-end severe weather risk on Saturday night into Sunday morning. This cold front will move through Sunday afternoon behind the advancing line of storms. Cooler, drier weather will happen on Sunday night, Monday, into Tuesday. Overnight lows by Monday morning will likely be in the upper 40s in many communities across the region. Highs on Monday will top out in the upper 70s.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

I will have another update posted on Saturday along with rolling updates in the RedZone Weather app.

Have a nice Friday evening!

4:39PM October 17, 2025



2:59PM October 17, 2025



8:17AM October 17, 2025

RAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES TOMORROW P.M. INTO SUNDAY… Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across south Alabama and northwest Florida on Saturday night into Sunday. The overall severe weather risk remains LOW, but perhaps not entirely zero.

6:51AM October 17, 2025

NICE FRIDAY; ISOLATED STORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY… Dry weather continues on this Friday ahead of rain being possible across south Alabama and northwest Florida on Saturday night into Sunday. High temperatures today will be in the upper 80s. Temperatures this evening will fall into the 70s. I expect much of the daytime hours of Saturday (if not all) to be dry. Scattered storms will be possible Saturday night into Sunday, but unfortunately not every community will have rain before this frontal boundary moves through. Next week is shaping up to be a nice week overall with cooler temperatures.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK ACROSS PARTS OF ARKANSAS SATURDAY… Our area is not involved in a severe weather risk on Saturday but our friends to the northwest across parts of Arkansas, northwest Mississippi, and western Tennessee are involved in a Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Saturday into Sunday morning. A few tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and large hail will be possible in those areas.

RAIN & STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will first be possible across parts of west Alabama in the evening hours on Saturday with scattered storms gradually spreading eastward throughout the night and into Sunday morning. Rain amounts will generally be in the 0.25″ to 0.5″ range in total across the local area. Heavier rain is expected across the northern part of Alabama and into parts of north Mississippi and Tennessee as well.

20-30% CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPING IN CARIBBEAN NEXT WEEK… The National Hurricane Center flagged an area of concern in the Caribbean Sea that is valid for next week. A tropical wave, currently located in the open waters of the central Atlantic Ocean, will move into the eastern Caribbean Sea around Tuesday or Wednesday. This feature has a 20-30% chance of becoming a named tropical storm next week. Too early to know where the system ultimately ends up. I will be monitoring this system carefully over the next few days.

TROPICS: GULF REMAINS QUIET… No tropical storms are expected to form over the next 5-7 days in the Gulf. The 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season will officially end on Sunday, November 30.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Friday morning RedZone Weather forecast video. My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM Monday morning. I will have updates posted throughout the weekend, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.

Have a great weekend!