RAIN & STORMS TOMORROW; INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY… Heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely starting overnight and extending into Tuesday.
Skies will become mostly cloudy throughout the day across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Monday.
Highs in the upper-70s today.
Have a nice start to your week!
BIGGEST RAIN EVENT OUR AREA HAS HAD IN MONTHS SET FOR TUESDAY… 2 to 5 inches of total rainfall will be the norm on Tuesday as a cold front approaches from the west. This will be the most significant rain event south Alabama and northwest Florida has had in quite some time. Isolated instances of flash flooding will be possible, particularly if storms train over the same areas. The greater rain amounts of 4 to 5 inches will likely happen in parts of Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (FL), and Santa Rosa counties. The rain is great news, but even better news is that widespread severe thunderstorms seem highly unlikely to happen. Could there be one or two severe storms? Yes, but the overall risk is quite low. Cooler, drier air arrives on Wednesday. The end of the week looks quite cold with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.
LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK TUESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included all of south Alabama and northwest Florida in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone valid for Tuesday. Anytime there is a Level 1 (out of 5) risk in place, it means that widespread severe storms are not expected, but a few, brief severe storms could happen. The main concern in any thunderstorms that become strong on Tuesday will be the risk of gusty winds. The overall tornado risk on Tuesday looks to be quite low. Perhaps not completely zero, but quite low. The risk of flash flooding will be elevated on Tuesday, particularly in communities closer to the beaches and bays.
TIMING FOR RAIN ON TUESDAY… Rain chances will rise throughout the night on Monday. There is a high chance many communities will have rain happening at sunrise on Tuesday. Rain will spread inland from southwest to northeast throughout the morning on Tuesday. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will be possible at times. Rain will continue in many communities throughout the day on Tuesday and come to an end in most spots by 8PM Tuesday evening.
COLDER AIR COMING LATER THIS WEEK… The moisture influx due to an advancing cold front and due to the remnants of the system that once was Tropical Storm Sara will kick out to our east on Tuesday evening, giving way to drier air arriving Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Cold air will start filtering into our region on Wednesday evening. High temperatures will be in the upper-50s on Thursday and Friday with morning lows in the 30s by Friday morning.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have a detailed video update with all of the latest information posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Hope you’ll join us then for the very latest. Have a good Sunday evening!
2 to 5 inches of total rainfall will be the norm on Tuesday as a cold front approaches from the west. This will be the most significant rain event south Alabama and northwest Florida has had in quite some time.
Details: https://t.co/fgO1ESrxy8 pic.twitter.com/nq8zLtkgx9
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) November 18, 2024
@NWSMobile @rzweather @WEARAllenStrum @michaelwhitewx @spann @TylerSmith_wx View from Pensacola Beach Pier. A persistent funnel kept appearing, fading, and reappearing from about 4:45 to 5:00 pm CDT before completely dying out. No spray ring observed. ~5nm S of Perdido Key. #flwx pic.twitter.com/HtP8nTSbZE
— Benjamin Mashburn (Lower AL WX) (@AlFlor1) November 17, 2024
Low-end risk of a few thunderstorms that could produce gusty winds and perhaps a brief tornado on Tuesday.
Heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding will be the MAIN concern.
Lower-end risk of damaging wind gusts. Even lower risk of a tornado or two. pic.twitter.com/zImi3qmtPZ
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) November 17, 2024
