
A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY ALONG WITH BENEFICIAL RAIN AHEAD OF COOLER TEMPS… We have two more hot days coming up on Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of our first real chance of organized rain and thunderstorms in quite some time. We’re tracking a cold front that will ultimately push southeast across south Alabama and northwest Florida on Thursday. This frontal boundary may provide just enough support to cause a few strong to severe storms across the region. As far as timing of the potential for strong storms, Thursday during the DAYTIME hours appears to be the window, but it’s too early for specifics. Most communities will simply have rain at times on Thursday into Friday morning – that is GOOD, beneficial rainfall. This will happen ahead of a slightly cooler, slightly drier air mass settling in for the upcoming weekend.
SEVERE WEATHER TIMING AND INTENSITY – THURSDAY… This is highly subject to change as we are still 2-3 days out from this severe weather potential. Right now, it looks like 10AM to 8PM may be the window for strong to potentially severe storms across south Alabama and northwest Florida. I expect the Storm Prediction Center to blanket our local area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk on Thursday. We note that SPC already has west Alabama in the low-end risk zone valid for Wednesday night. This means that MOST communities probably won’t have severe weather issues, but some very well could. Damaging wind gusts will probably be the main concern with a very low-end tornado risk. This does not mean a tornado won’t happen, but at this point, the risk isn’t substantial, thankfully.
WHAT TO EXPECT – TOMORROW AND WEDNESDAY… Highly isolated P.M. pop-up storms are expected tomorrow and on Wednesday with MOST communities across the region remaining dry. Where it isn’t raining, we should have a good supply of sunshine and nice (albeit hot) conditions. High temperatures will be in the low 90s tomorrow and Wednesday.
WHAT TO EXPECT – WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING… Rain and thunderstorms are likely at times. It probably won’t rain all day in any given community on Thursday, but we will have periods of rain and thunderstorms. Some of these thunderstorms may be strong or marginally severe with gusty winds being possible. A brief tornado or two can’t be ruled out. Rain will clear out, most likely, by Friday afternoon in most spots across the region.
SLIGHTLY COOLER, DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND… High temperatures will drop back into the mid 80s on Saturday and Sunday with overnight lows expected to be near 60 degrees (!) on Saturday night into Sunday. This will be another brief taste of fall this weekend. Mostly sunny skies are likely on Saturday and Sunday. It will likely be a beautiful weekend for outdoor activities.
TROPICAL UPDATE… Hurricane Gabrielle is passing by Bermuda just to the east in the Atlantic Ocean this evening. Gabrielle will move out to sea, away from all land areas, over the next few days. We’re also tracking two tropical waves in the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. One of these tropical waves could move toward the Carolina coast later this week into the weekend. The Gulf and Caribbean Sea, however, remain quiet, for now. Good news!
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. I will have updates posted throughout the evening, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.
Have a good Monday evening!
