Why the upgrade to a Level 4 (out of 5) risk? The Level 4 risk is driven, in this case, by "15% tornado probability w/i 25 miles of a given point"
Having a 15% probability means *15 TIMES the normal odds of a tornado nearby.*
Take this seriously. Big TORs possible Sunday P.M. pic.twitter.com/vEyoQeiMlk
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) April 18, 2020