The MDR ITCZ has become convectively active as the convective MJO envelope moves in. This can make the MDR more favorable for TC development, but can set up competition b/w multiple vorticity maxima.
These interactions are often poorly forecasted by global models, ⬆️uncertainty. pic.twitter.com/ywykaPbSYN
— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) August 17, 2020