ISOLATED STORMS THURSDAY
RZW Exec partners, good Tuesday morning! This is a brief update to give you an early heads up that we will be tracking rain and thunderstorms on Thursday into early Friday. The Storm Prediction Center has opted to include parts of Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (FL), and Santa Rosa counties in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk zone. This will be a low-end severe weather potential with the bigger concern being heavy downpours of rain Thursday evening into early Friday. Could an isolated tornado happen? Yes. Are tornadoes likely with this event? No, at least not in our local area.
This low-end severe weather potential will be quite similar to the events we’ve had over the last few weeks with quite a bit of rain, but not much in the way of truly hazardous weather. That statement is according to the latest model data, which shows a significant lack of CAPE/instability across our region. This will likely serve to hinder storms in a significant way. Below is the latest convective outlook valid for Thursday…
PUBLIC UPDATES TO CONTINUE
Barring any significant change in forecast data, this will likely be a severe weather potential with very little in the way of impacts other than heavy rain at times. IF significant forecast changes happen, I’ll be sure to bring you another RZW Exec update here in the Tactical Ops Room. Otherwise, we will continue to publicly post about this low-end severe weather event over the next few days. As always, let me know if you have any questions. Have a great week!