MUCH COOLER TODAY; SUNSHINE RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND… Keep those jackets handy as high temperatures will only be in the low-50s today across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Any lingering clouds will be pushed out shortly and we will have a sunny end to the day across our region. Plenty of sunshine is ahead for the weekend as well. At this point, no changes to report on the system that is slated to move by on Tuesday that will bring rain to the area. All model indications point to RAIN and not snow at this point. Let’s talk about some details…
COLD NIGHTS AHEAD… Overnight lows on Friday morning will be around the freezing mark. The coldest night of the next few nights will be Friday night into Saturday morning when most of our local area will drop into the 20s. Clear skies are expected at night with sunny skies likely Friday, Saturday, and much of the day on Sunday.
Some review from the video discussion from last evening…
SNOW POSSIBLE IN NORTH ALABAMA NEXT WEEK… The latest model data continues to suggest that snow may be possible Tuesday across the far northern stretches of Alabama, mainly north of U.S. Highway 278 in places like Huntsville, Decatur, Florence, and Muscle Shoals.
SNOW IS NOT LIKELY ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA & NW FLORIDA… I really hate to be the bearer of bad news because I know SO many people want to see some snow around our region, but at this point the chance of snow remains very, very low for our local area. Could that change? Yes, and we will have to continue to watch model trends to see if models “go in the other direction” toward suggesting snow. On Wednesday, models have exclusively moved toward a “rain solution” with no snow in the runs. At this point, we will call for a low (20%) rain chance for Tuesday with no snow/mix issues.
DON’T TRUST THE AUTOMATED APPS… The snow icons that appear occasionally in the long range forecasts on stock weather apps are very misleading for our part of the country. This is mainly because these apps pick up on model-to-model run variances and in this case, they provide false hope for “snow lovers” everywhere. The fact is that 99% of weather apps available today are completely automated with model output statistics and ZERO human input. This makes the forecasting you see on stock weather apps (like the one that comes by default loaded onto all iPhones and certain Android phones) highly unreliable and subject to large errors. Contrast that with our RedZone Weather app that is basically exclusively produced by me. No automation whatsoever. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download.
IF WE HAVE CHANGES, I’LL LET YOU KNOW… Again, please don’t think I’m “anti-snow” because we don’t have it in our forecast. I’m in the weather forecasting business, not the wishcasting business. IF we have changes that support snow across our area, I’ll be sure to let you know!
See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video that will be available shortly in the RedZone Weather app…