DETAILED SNOW PROJECTION BELOW… RZW Exec partners, I hope you’re having a nice end to your weekend. Below you will find a highly detailed projection of the snow potential setting up for Tuesday. We will share much of this information publicly in the next few hours. This is very specific, but if you need more information and/or guidance related to decision support needs for your school, organization, or business, please don’t hesitate to let me know.
HIGHLY DETAILED COUNTY-BY-COUNTY SNOW PROJECTION… Snow to the north and rain to the south. That’s the one liner summary of how Tuesday’s winter weather event will shape up. The greatest chance of experiencing snow will happen 6AM to Noon on Tuesday along the back edge of a mass of precipitation that will move across our area from west to east. Some spots will see no accumulation, whiles areas on the northern side of our region COULD end up with over 1” of snow in isolated spots. The bigger snow amounts will happen across northern and central parts of Alabama where 2-4” of snow can’t be ruled out.
CHOCTAW, WILCOX, NORTHERN CLARKE, NORTHERN WASHINGTON, NORTHERN MONROE, NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTIES… These will be the communities that will likely pick up between 0.25” and 1” of snow in total. There could be isolated higher amounts up to 2” of snow, but I expect that to be the anomaly locally with the greater snow amounts clearly happening to our north. Communities like Thomasville, Fulton, Grove Hill, Coffeeville, Campbell, Tallahatta Springs, Sweet Water, Dixons Mills, Pine Hill, Camden, Pine Apple, Greenville, Forest Home, Awin, McWilliams, Beatrice, Franklin, Vredenburgh, Nanafalia, Silas, Toxey, Butler, Gilbertown, Lisman, Pennington, Millry, and Cullomburg are included in this zone. The greatest chance of accumulating snow in these zones will happen from 6AM to Noon on Tuesday with the snow/precipitation ending from west to east.
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF WASHINGTON, CLARKE, MONROE, BUTLER, AND NORTHERN CONECUH COUNTIES… 0.1” to 0.5” of accumulating snow is expected in total in these areas. Could there be a few surprises? Yes, and some areas may pick up more than the expected amount. On the contrary of that, some spots in this zone may have no accumulation. Greater snow chances will happen well to the north. The following places are included in this zone: Chatom, Leroy, Wagerville, Fruitdale, Jackson, Gainestown, Perdue Hill, Monroeville, Frisco City, Repton, Evergreen, Owassa, Lyeffion, Bowles, Midway, Starlington, Georgiana, McKenzie, Oaky Streak, Luverne, and Troy.
COVINGTON, ESCAMBIA (AL), MOBILE, BALDWIN, ESCAMBIA (FL), SANTA ROSA, OKALOOSA COUNTIES… If you’re a “snow lover” and you live in one of these counties, unfortunately “the odds are not in your favor” when it comes to this snow potential. While snow flurries are possible, accumulating snow is much less likely. I caution though, there could be a few isolated spots that have a dusting of snow before this is all over, although that will be the anomaly and not the trend. Places in this zone include: Mobile, Citronelle, Bay Minette, Stapleton, Stockton, Uriah, Calvert, Atmore, Poarch, Flomaton, Brewton, Castleberry, Andalusia, Carolina, Opp, Florala, Gantt, Brantley, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Molino, Jay, Berrydale, and Laurel Hill.
COASTAL AREAS TO HAVE RAIN ONLY… Snow will probably not happen in coastal areas of Alabama and northwest Florida. If you live south of Interstate 10, there is a high chance you won’t have snow or flurries at all. More likely, we will just have a cold, miserable rain in these areas: Pensacola, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Loxley, Silverhill, Robertsdale, Foley, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Perdido Key, Dauphin Island, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Theodore, Gulf Breeze, Pensacola Beach, Milton, Pace, Navarre, Holt, Harold, Crestview, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Mary Esther, and Niceville.
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA… Snow accumulation is not expected in southeast Alabama & the Wiregrass region. Could snow flurries happen? Yes, that is a possibility. This includes places near Dothan, Enterprise, Elba, Ozark, Daleville, Geneva, Samson, Abbeville, and Eufaula.
FLORIDA PANHANDLE – RAIN… There is high confidence that the Florida Panhandle region will have a cold rain and no snow/flurries on Tuesday. This includes Walton County and points east: Miramar Beach, Seaside, De Funiak Springs, Mossy Head, Chipley, Marianna, Bonifay, Panama City, Mexico Beach, Port St. Joe, Apalachicola, and Blountstown.
CENTRAL AND NORTH ALABAMA… The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for much of northern and central Alabama where 1-3” of accumulating snow could happen. Travel impacts could be pretty extensive with roadway closures possible. Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden, Demopolis, Centreville, Sylacauga, Centre, Cullman, Oneonta, Jasper, Fayette, Aliceville, York, Eutaw, Marion, Haleyville, Double Springs, Saks, Leeds, Clanton, Huntsville, Decatur, Muscle Shoals, Guntersville, Moulton, Russellville, Athens, Ardmore, Florence, Fort Payne, and and surrounding areas are included in this zone.
VERY COLD AIR MOVES IN TUESDAY AFTERNOON… Temperatures will be QUITE cold Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning, regardless of if your particular location has snow on the ground or not. We could be in hard freeze territory by Wednesday morning with upper-10s becoming possible on the thermometer by 6AM Wednesday across our northern counties. Wednesday will be a very cold day with highs only in the 40s under mostly cloudy skies.