STRONG STORMS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… RZW Exec partners, good evening! We’ve got an active weather pattern ahead for Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. My main focus is now on the system that will move by late Sunday into Monday when our next cold front moves by. That is when our severe weather risk will ramp up. Before we get there, we’ve got a few thunderstorms happening right now with more on the way for Saturday.
SATURDAY STORMS… Below is the latest convective outlook for Saturday. You can see the greater severe weather risk zone (Levels 2 and 3) will happen well to our west across parts of Texas, Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and northwest Mississippi. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has much of Alabama included in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk zone due to thunderstorms that could produce hail (up to the size of quarters) and gusty winds. The tornado risk for Saturday for our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida remains near zero.
SUNDAY SEVERE STORMS TO OUR WEST… Sunday afternoon and evening is when our local area will need to begin to monitor local radar trends. SPC has a large swath of the southern U.S. involved in their Level 2 risk. They note that further outlook refinements are likely. This means we shouldn’t be shocked if a Level 3 or even Level 4 will be needed for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas in the next few outlooks valid for Sunday. The weather system responsible for this risk zone could produce tornadoes (perhaps some strong ones), large hail, and damaging winds across parts of MS, LA, and AR on Sunday. We will need to monitor trends Sunday evening to see just how far the severe storms can push to the east. For now, SPC has western parts of Alabama involved in their Level 2 risk zone.
I’ll keep you posted about this developing situation over the next 48 hours.