MILD/WARM TEMPS AHEAD; RAIN & STORMS ON WEDNESDAY… We’re set to have a streak of warm days through Saturday with rain and storms being possible on Wednesday. Temperatures will climb into the mid-70s on this Tuesday with only a small (20% or less) chance of rain over west Alabama this evening after 6PM. Wednesday morning looks to be wet at times with a chance (50-60%) of showers and thunderstorms. I am not anticipating any severe weather issues due to the overall lack of atmospheric instability, but there could be some thunder at times near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Rain clears out Wednesday evening, giving way to a nice, mild Thanksgiving Day with high temperatures set to peak in the low-70s. Most folks would call this PERFECT Thanksgiving weather! We’re also looking ahead to Black Friday, Iron Bowl Saturday, the official end of hurricane season, and a cold blast of air next week. Let’s look at your details.
RAIN CHANCES HIGHEST DURING DAYTIME ON WEDNESDAY… Isolated showers could happen as early as this evening across west Alabama in areas west of the Alabama River. Most spots will be dry until 3AM or so on Wednesday. That’s the approximate time when scattered showers will become more numerous across the region. Rain chances will be highest from 8AM to 3PM Wednesday with a small chance of a few embedded thunderstorms. Again, for now we are calling for no severe weather issues as there will be a classic cold season “mismatch of severe weather ingredients” with higher instability values to the south and higher wind shear values to our north. High temperatures on Wednesday will be in the mid-70s.
DRY & MILD THANKSGIVING DAY… Partly cloudy skies are expected for Thanksgiving Day. High temperatures will be around 72° in most spots. No rain is expected on Thursday! Gorgeous day!
TEMPS IN 50s FOR THANKSGIVING NIGHT & EARLY BLACK FRIDAY… If you are headed out for shopping late Thursday night or early Friday morning, temperatures will be in the 50s. No rain is expected and skies will be mostly clear.
HIGHS IN UPPER-70s FOR FRIDAY… Gorgeous weather is likely on Black Friday with high temperatures surging into the upper-70s across the region. Clouds will be on the increase late in the day. If your local high school football team is still in the AHSAA playoffs, there’s good news in that game time temperatures at the 7PM kickoff will be quite mild (low-60s) with no rain issues expected. Temperatures will fall into the mid-50s by the 4th quarter of each game.
CLOUDS INCREASE ON SATURDAY… Ahead of our next potent cold front, clouds are set to increase in coverage across the area on Saturday morning and afternoon. High temperatures on Saturday might make a run at the 80 degree mark. We could have a few showers late in the day on Saturday but it’s too early to know that for sure.
IRON BOWL FORECAST… Please note this forecast is specific to Auburn, Alabama and is not indicative of forecast conditions in south Alabama or northwest Florida. Unfortunately, rain chances on Saturday have increased for Auburn where the Iron Bowl is set to happen. We’ll call it a 20% chance of showers from Noon to 4PM then a 50-60% chance of showers from 4PM to 8PM in Auburn. The game kicks off at 2:30PM CST and will be televised on local CBS stations. Temperatures will be consistently in the low-70s for the duration of the game. It won’t be too cold, but there is a chance fo a few showers in the latter half of the game. Take the ponchos just in case Jordan-Hare Stadium happens to be under one of the showers.
RAIN & STORMS SUNDAY MORNING… Showers and thunderstorms will again be possible late Saturday evening into the early part of Sunday as a strong cold front moves across our region. It is too early to know whether severe weather will be an issue, but early model trends are encouraging and point to general thunderstorms and scattered showers for now. Good news!
MUCH COLDER NEXT WEEK… After a cold front passes on Sunday, temperatures are poised to be much colder for next week. High temperatures Monday into Tuesday will drop back into the mid-50s with overnight lows perhaps near the freezing mark.
HURRICANE SEASON ENDS SATURDAY… The tropics are quiet, as should be the case as we close out hurricane season. The 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially ends on Saturday, November 30. The season will go down as a very active season with 18 named storms in total.
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See all the graphics and details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Enjoy your day!