NUMEROUS SHOWERS & STORMS TODAY; TROPICAL WAVE IN ATLANTIC… Rain and thunderstorms will likely be numerous today across the region as tropical moisture continues to surge in from the south. This moisture is not associated with the one tropical system we’re watching today, that remains centered over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. That tropical wave is branded as INVEST 92L. The system is moving westward toward the Lesser Antilles. We’ll have one more day of numerous showers and thunderstorms before a somewhat drier pattern takes hold for the latter half of the week. Below are all of your Tuesday forecast details.
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES TODAY & WEDNESDAY… Today (Tuesday) is set to be potentially the wettest day of this week with numerous showers and thunderstorms expected across south Alabama and northwest Florida. There is a high chance that rain and storms will last quite a bit longer than the normal pop-up storms we experience on a given summer day. This is partly because our area remains in a humid, warm airmass supported by Gulf moisture streaming in from the south. Storms today will be prolific rainmakers with heavy rain being possible at times throughout the day. High temperatures will be in the mid-80s across the area.
70-80% CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center now suggests there is a 70-80% chance of the tropical wave in the middle Atlantic Ocean becoming a tropical storm over the next 3-5 days. This tropical wave is very large and has been a bit slower to organize because of the large size. The wave really needs to consolidate and form a low-level center to be classified as a tropical depression or tropical storm and that has not happened (yet). While confidence is very high that heavy rain and gusty winds will be a concern for the northern part of the Lesser Antilles later this week, beyond that it is truly anyone’s guess as to where this system ultimately ends up. Model guidance consistently has suggested a sharp turn to the north into the Atlantic, but that depends on just how strong the system becomes. There is a chance the system may never develop fully and remain an open tropical wave as it moves westward. Regardless, Gulf of Mexico impacts *at this moment* continue to look fairly unlikely.
GULF & CARIBBEAN ARE QUIET FOR NOW… The Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea are currently quiet with no new tropical storm formation expected over the next 5-7 days. INVEST 92L/Isaias-to-be may briefly move through the northeast Caribbean later this week.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a nice day!