LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) SEVERE WEATHER RISK ON TUESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center now includes parts of our area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone valid for Tuesday. While most spots locally will simply have rain at times with a few rumbles of thunder, a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will also be possible. The main concerns in the stronger storms on Tuesday will be gusty winds, potentially that are capable of knocking down a few trees. The overall tornado risk remains very low, if not near zero in most spots. A few more midday Monday forecast notes are below.
LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK TO THE NORTH TODAY INTO TONIGHT… Separate from the graphic attached, we note the Storm Prediction Center includes nearly all of central and north Alabama in their low-end severe weather risk (Level 1 out of 5) valid for today into tonight. This severe weather risk zone is in place due to the low-end chance of a few stronger storms producing damaging wind gusts and maybe a tornado or two. As of the Noon CST update, SPC now includes parts of Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties in southwest Alabama in this zone valid today into tonight. I will be closely monitoring radar trends in the hours ahead. We will bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app.
RAIN AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY; A STRONG STORM OR TWO POSSIBLE… Rain chances will gradually increase tonight into Tuesday across our local area. Keep in mind that vast majority of the local area will simply have rain and general thunderstorms with this passing weather system. Widespread, significant severe weather issues are not expected at this time. Anytime there is low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk in place, that means one or two briefly severe storms will be possible.
LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) RISK ZONE ON TUESDAY… The low-end severe weather risk zone includes parts of Baldwin, Escambia (AL), Conecuh, Covington, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, Okaloosa counties locally on Tuesday. This includes places like Pensacola, Milton, Pace, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Brooklyn, Brewton, Flomaton, Atmore, Orange Beach, Foley, Elberta, Magnolia Springs, Gateswood, Molino, Century, Berrydale, and Jay. Parts of southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle region are also involved in the low-end risk zone, including areas near Dothan, Enterprise, Elba, Daleville, Abbeville, Geneva, Eufaula, Panama City, Port St. Joe, Marianna, DeFuniak Springs, Bonifay, Seaside, Santa Rosa Beach, and surrounding areas.
TEMPS WAY TOO WARM FOR LATE JANUARY… Our area remains involved in a muggy, warm air mass out ahead of an approaching cold front. We are in the “warm sector” where temperatures will climb into the mid-70s not only this afternoon but also on Tuesday afternoon. Temperatures will become much more seasonal (with high temps in the 50s) by Thursday.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have ongoing updates as needed today, tonight, and on Tuesday in the RedZone Weather app. Have a nice Monday evening!