HIGHLY DETAILED COUNTY-BY-COUNTY SEVERE WEATHER ASSESSMENT… The greatest risk of tornadoes on Wednesday into early Thursday will probably set up across inland areas of west Alabama and east Mississippi in the afternoon hours, but there is a real chance that storms may fire up outside of that highest risk corridor a bit later in the evening. All parameters seem to support a robust, potentially significant outbreak of severe weather. Please have multiple ways to get warnings on Wednesday! Below you will find a highly detailed discussion that is specific to your town/city/county below.
WASHINGTON COUNTY, AL… Two rounds of severe thunderstorms are likely. The first round will be in the form of supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail. Some of the tornadoes could be strong and/or long-tracked. This first round of severe storms is expected to happen from 1PM to 6PM on Wednesday. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 to 4 (out of 5) – Widespread severe storms are likely.
Locations: Chatom, Leroy, McIntosh, Millry, Deer Park, Vinegar Bend, Fruitdale, Yellow Pine, Copeland, Yarbo, Jordan, Bigbee, St. Stephens, Tibbie, Sims Chapel, Sunflower, Malcolm.
CLARKE COUNTY, AL… Two rounds of severe thunderstorms are likely. The first round will be in the form of supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail. Some of the tornadoes could be strong and/or long-tracked. This first round of severe storms is expected to happen from 1PM to 6PM on Wednesday. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 to 4 (out of 5) – Widespread severe storms are likely.
Locations: Thomasville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Coffeeville, Fulton, Carlton, Gainestown, Gosport, Whatley, Scyrene, Springfield, Chilton, Tallahatta Springs, Bashi, Woods Bluff, Campbell, Zimco, Toddtown, Salitpa, Suggsville, Alma, Dickinson, West Bend, Winn, Walker Springs.
MONROE COUNTY, AL… Two rounds of severe thunderstorms are likely. The first round will be in the form of supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail. Some of the tornadoes could be strong and/or long-tracked. This first round of severe storms is expected to happen from 1PM to 6PM on Wednesday. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 to 4 (out of 5) – Widespread severe storms are likely.
Locations: Monroeville, Excel, Uriah, Frisco City, Megargal, Mineola, Chrysler, Goodway, Peterman, Tunnel Springs, Beatrice, Riley Crossing, Perdue Hill, Mexia, Scratch Ankle, Hybart, Franklin, Eliska.
BUTLER COUNTY, AL… Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail may be possible in the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday. This first round of severe storms is expected to be more impactful in areas farther north/west, but there still is a potential tornado threat from this first round of storms in Butler County. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 to 4 (out of 5) – Widespread severe storms are likely.
Locations: Greenville, Georgiana, Chapman, Bolling, Grace, Garland, Oaky Streak, Daisy, Halso Mill, Starlington, Forest Home.
CONECUH COUNTY, AL… Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail may be possible in the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday. This first round of severe storms is expected to be more impactful in areas farther north/west, but there still is a potential tornado threat from this first round of storms in Conecuh County. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 to 4 (out of 5) – Widespread severe storms are likely.
Locations: Evergreen, Castleberry, Owassa, Repton, Lenox, Range, Burnt Corn, Lyeffion, Centerville, Johnsonville, Brooklyn, Paul, Melrose, Old Sparta, Jay Villa, Belleville.
COVINGTON COUNTY, AL… Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail may be possible in the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday. This first round of severe storms is expected to be more impactful in areas farther north/west, but there still is a potential tornado threat from this first round of storms in Covington County. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 (out of 5) – Numerous severe storms are possible.
Locations: Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Rose Hill, Onycha, Red Oak, Green Bay, Straughn, Red Level, Gantt, Clearview, Carolina, Pleasant Home, Wing, Sanford, Libertyville, Eoda, Horn Hill, Lockhart, River Falls, Loango, Fairfield.
ESCAMBIA COUNTY, AL… Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail may be possible in the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday. This first round of severe storms is expected to be more impactful in areas farther north/west, but there still is a potential tornado threat from this first round of storms in Escambia County, AL. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 3 (out of 5) – Numerous severe storms are possible.
Locations: Brewton, East Brewton, Atmore, Flomaton, Riverview, Poarch, Huxford, Wallace, Barnett Crossroads, Pineview, Wawbeek, Canoe, Nokomis, Appleton, Kirkland, Dixie, Roberts, Damascus, Pollard/McCall.
MOBILE COUNTY, AL… Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail may be possible in the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday, especially across the northern part of the county. This first round of severe storms is expected to be more impactful in areas farther north/west, but there still is a potential tornado threat from this first round of storms in Mobile County. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 2 to 3 (out of 5) – Scattered severe storms are possible.
Locations: Mobile, Prichard, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Creola, Satsuma, Saraland, Calvert, Wilmer, West Mobile, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Dauphin Island, Theodore, Crichton, Tanner Williams, Tillmans Corner, Chunchula, Grand Bay.
BALDWIN COUNTY, AL… Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes and large hail may be possible in the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday, especially across the northern part of the county. This first round of severe storms is expected to be more impactful in areas farther north/west, but there still is a potential tornado threat from this first round of storms in Baldwin County. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 2 to 3 (out of 5) – Scattered severe storms are possible.
Locations: Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan, Magnolia Springs, Foley, Elberta, Elsanor, Robertsdale, Summerdale, Silverhill, Montrose, Loxley, Stapleton, Bay Minette, Stockton, Rabun, Perdido, Tensaw, Point Clear.
ESCAMBIA COUNTY, FL… The threat of tornadoes is a bit lower across northwest Florida in the afternoon hours of Wednesday compared to areas farther inland. The risk of tornadoes in the afternoon is conditional upon supercell storms firing up, and it looks like the greater chance of this happening will be farther north. This means northwest Florida may have a fairly quiet day until the late evening hours. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 2 to 3 (out of 5) – Scattered severe storms are possible.
Locations: Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Key, Warrington, Myrtle Grove, Molino, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Century, Ensley, Gonzalez, Cantonment, Quintette, McDavid.
SANTA ROSA COUNTY, FL… The threat of tornadoes is a bit lower across northwest Florida in the afternoon hours of Wednesday compared to areas farther inland. The risk of tornadoes in the afternoon is conditional upon supercell storms firing up, and it looks like the greater chance of this happening will be farther north. This means northwest Florida may have a fairly quiet day until the late evening hours. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 2 to 3 (out of 5) – Scattered severe storms are possible.
Locations: Navarre, Jay, Milton, Pace, Gulf Breeze, Harold, Whiting Field, Chumuckla, New York, Brownsdale, Berrydale, Munson, Fidelis, McClellan, Mulat, Bagdad, Pine Bluff, Avalon Beach, Garcon Point, Whitfield, Allentown.
OKALOOSA COUNTY, FL… The threat of tornadoes is a bit lower across northwest Florida in the afternoon hours of Wednesday compared to areas farther inland. The risk of tornadoes in the afternoon is conditional upon supercell storms firing up, and it looks like the greater chance of this happening will be farther north. This means northwest Florida may have a fairly quiet day until the late evening hours. The second round of severe weather will be a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding. This second round of storms will move through in the late evening hours of Wednesday and exit the county by early Thursday morning.
Current Severe Threat Level: 2 to 3 (out of 5) – Scattered severe storms are possible.
Locations: Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Mary Esther, Wright, VPS, Eglin AFB, Crestview, Deerland, Campton, Auburn (FL), Baker, Holt, Milligan, Laurel Hill.
SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
My next video update will be LIVE this evening at some point around 8PM. See you then!
