SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LOCALLY TODAY; TROPICS BECOMING MORE ACTIVE… Showers and thunderstorms will develop in the heat of the day on this Monday, similar to what happened over the last few days. Thunderstorms will form quickly and fade away just as quick in most cases. These pulse-type, pop-up thunderstorms are all too typical for this time of year across our region. The good news is I do not expect widespread severe weather today. Some of the pop-up storms will produce heavy localized downpours of rain, gusty winds, cloud-to-ground lightning, and loud thunder. High temperatures will be in the low-90s today, which climatologically speaking is exactly where we should be temperature-wise for this time of year. We’re also keeping tabs on a system in the tropics that will move toward The Bahamas over the next few days.
STORMS AT TIMES TODAY AND TOMORROW; LOWER RAIN CHANCES LATER THIS WEEK… The last days of July and first few days of August will be exactly what you would expect for this time of year with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mostly in the afternoon and evening hours, each day. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-90s each afternoon. Rain chances will be ever so slightly lower later this week, which means temperatures will be just a bit higher (95-96° range by Friday). Slightly higher rain chances return for the upcoming weekend.
TROPICS: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE ATLANTIC MOVING WEST… The National Hurricane Center indicates an area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles in the central Atlantic Ocean, continues to have about a 40% chance of becoming a named tropical storm later this week or into the weekend when the system is near or north of Hispaniola, near the Turks & Caicos Islands and The Bahamas. Environmental conditions are currently not favorable for development, but conditions will become slightly more favorable later this week when the tropical disturbance is in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
TROPICS: TOO EARLY TO KNOW WHERE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ENDS UP… Confidence in terms of where this system ultimately ends up remains quite low. The system may be an issue for parts of the East Coast of the U.S. There have been a few outlier models that suggest the system could be a problem for the Gulf of Mexico. The overall trend yesterday and today, however, has been good news for our local area in that many more models seem to be latching onto the idea of the system turning north near The Bahamas. That is not a certainty at this point, but the trends have, so far, been encouraging. I will continue to monitor trends and bring you the latest over the next few days in the RedZone Weather app.
TROPICS: GULF & CARIBBEAN CURRENTLY QUIET… Outside of the tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea remain quiet with no tropical storms expected to form over the next 5-7 days. The climatological peak of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season happens on September 11.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Monday morning RedZone Weather forecast video. Have a great day!