In addition to the landfall location uncertainty for potential tropical cyclone #6, the greatest mode of ensemble variability is actually timing (i.e., along track).
While the NHC forecast landfall is on Weds PM, ensemble member landfall timing ranges from Weds AM to Thurs PM. pic.twitter.com/KiKJuf7cNs
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) September 9, 2024
