7:50PM November 12, 2024

90% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT IN CARIBBEAN… The National Hurricane Center indicates there is a 90% chance of a named tropical storm developing in the western Caribbean Sea over the next few days. A tropical disturbance (now branded as INVEST 99L) is located near Jamaica this evening, moving west. The environment ahead of the system supports intensification, potentially rapid intensification, into a hurricane later this week or into the weekend. Most of the longer range model guidance shows the system moving north into the southern Gulf next week. Too early to know where the system ends up, but model trends have (unfortunately) trended toward Florida today. Not a good scenario if that pans out. Watching details carefully. Join me in the next regularly scheduled RedZone Weather forecast video tomorrow morning at 7:15AM for the very latest information.

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