I would argue it's significantly better than spaghetti. If you take the @NHC_Atlantic 5/7-day genesis verification over the last 3 years and average them, the likelihood of a TC forming is generally quite close to the predicted probability in the Tropical Weather Outlook. This… https://t.co/iWBToM32Jx pic.twitter.com/6Kyiu34Egy
— Dr. Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits) August 31, 2024
