1:42PM May 13, 2018

HURRICANE HYPE OUT OF CONTROL… P.M. showers and storms are likely across south Alabama and northwest Florida today and in the days ahead. See forecast details below. More images/videos of hyperbole and hype are making the rounds today about the potential for a tropical storm/hurricane in late May that “could potentially affect the Gulf Coast region.” Let me say it loudly and plainly: While ONE model has suggested a potential for some tropical mischief in the last few days of May, this is remains an outlier, and moreover, this is ten days out. It is highly irresponsible to show wildly varying model data beyond seven days as there’s just no skill beyond seven days out. Could a tropical storm happen in the Gulf in that timeframe? Sure. The odds of that actually happening as of now remain very low. See more about this in the video.

HOT SUNDAY; FEW STORMS POSSIBLE… Temperatures have soared into the 90s across our region early this afternoon. A few showers and storms will likely bubble up in the heat of the day. High temperatures will peak around 94-95° in most spots across inland areas. Rain chances subside this evening as we lose daytime heating.

INCREASING RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK… Monday looks to be the most dry day out of the next 7 days. We’ll call it a 30% chance of showers and storms in the afternoon and evening hours on Monday, but rain chances spike on Tuesday as an upper low and accompanying surface area of low pressure reach the northern Gulf.

SUMMERLIKE PATTERN AHEAD… Temperatures will be in the 80s/90s over the next few days with morning lows in the 60s. Tuesday and on subsequent days, showers and storms will be numerous across our region. This is due, in part, to the seabreeze boundary moving inland each day. Storms could produce heavy bursts of rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning. Widespread severe weather, however, is not expected.

See all the details in your Sunday evening #rzw forecast video above… Hope you have a great evening!

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