12:28PM 11/6/2018 – RZW Exec

SEVERE WEATHER TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT… RZW Exec members, good Monday afternoon to each of you. This is a brief update to mention that the overall severe weather risk for today/tonight/Tuesday is much lower for our local area. Significant tornadoes will be possible well to our north in the northwestern corner of Alabama, much of the northern half of Mississippi, and the western half of Tennessee. The latest convective outlook depicts this below…

POTENTIAL LOCAL IMPACTS… Parameters suggest that while our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida could have a few thunderstorms, the overall severe weather risk is much lower. The Storm Prediction Center maintains much of Clarke, Washington, Monroe, Butler, Choctaw, and Wilcox counties in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone. This means that while a few strong storms could happen, the overall risk is very low. We note that vast majority of our local area is now OUT of the severe weather risk zones.

WHAT TO EXPECT LOCALLY… Clouds will continue to increase across our region today. Rain chances will spike tonight as isolated showers and thunderstorms pop up and stream into the north. There could be a few stronger thunderstorms around our area in the overnight hours and into Tuesday morning. Most of the storms should be gone by 3PM on Tuesday. We have multiple rounds of storms ahead over the next few days, but after Tuesday, the overall severe weather risk locally will remain fairly low.

MORE STORMS LATER THIS WEEK… Our active weather period is NOT over after the storms Tuesday. The cold front driving all of the nasty/severe weather to our north will stall out over our local area Tuesday evening. There will be several rounds of rain and thunderstorms each day through Friday. That is when the next, stronger cold front will sweep through the area paving the way for a dry weekend.

This will be the final RZW Exec update on this particular severe weather event unless parameters change in the days ahead. Please continue to monitor our public-facing products for the very latest. Let me know if you have any specific questions or concerns. Have a great evening!

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