COLD TEMPS LIKELY IN EARLY MARCH… The latest 8-14 day outlook issued by the Climate Prediction Center strongly suggests a very high probability that early March will feature temperatures far below average across much of the continental United States. When you see a forecast image like this with much of the country blanketed in below average temperatures, odds are higher that the forecast will verify.
CAUTION WHEN VIEWING LONG RANGE DATA… Longtime viewers and readers know that I put very little trust in any weather model and forecast data beyond the “7 day out” mark. The one extended forecast that is generalized and pretty much on target is the Climatological Prediction Center (CPC) 8-14 Day Outlook. This forecast takes into account data from multiple models and is generated by trained meteorologists (as opposed to raw model output).
WARMER IN THE SHORT-TERM… Temperatures are headed UP for Wednesday, Thursday, into Friday as a warm, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico takes hold of our weather pattern.
STORMS ON THURSDAY… A few strong to potentially severe storms will be possible on Thursday. The Storm Prediction Center has introduced a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk zone for much of our area. I’ll have a full video/discussion about this posted by 7:15AM on Wednesday morning. See you then!