MOSTLY SUNNY & HOT; FEW STORMS THIS EVENING… Coverage of showers and thunderstorms will remain quite sparse on this Tuesday as high pressure remains in dominant control of our weather pattern. High temperatures will peak in the mid-90s by 3PM. There is good news to report in the tropics as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) says the tropical wave in the Caribbean Sea probably won’t develop into a tropical storm as it continues to move toward The Bahamas. Let’s look at your forecast details…
FEW STORMS DURING P.M. HOURS… Isolated, small thunderstorms will likely bubble up this afternoon across parts of south Alabama and northwest Florida. Storms will be very few and far between today. Yesterday we had a few storms over southern Clarke County near Jackson. Sunday we had small, isolated storms near Navarre and Milton in Santa Rosa County. Where will storms pop up today? I can’t answer that specifically, but I can just about guarantee there will be a storm or two on radar by 2PM. Vast majority of us will remain dry. The severe weather risk remains at or near zero for today and tomorrow.
RAIN CHANCES GO UP SLIGHTLY FOR THE WEEKEND… Showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous as we go into the Alabama and northwest Florida weekend. There will be plenty of sunshine each day, especially in the morning hours. This means we won’t be dealing with “all day washout” type days. The storms will be scattered in nature across the region. Most of the storms will happen in the afternoon and evening hours.
INVEST 95L BARELY HOLDING ON; DEVELOPMENT UNLIKELY… The tropical wave currently near Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Puerto Rico is barely hanging on to life. The National Hurricane Center indicates that development probabilities have dropped to a near 10% chance as we go into the weekend, indicating development of this system is probably not going to happen. There still will be heavy rain across parts of The Bahamas and perhaps south Florida this weekend because of this passing area of low pressure.
20% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring a tropical wave currently situated just off the western coast of Africa. While development is not expected over the next 2 days, the tropical wave may have a chance to strengthen to a tropical storm this weekend as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. This system is still far away from land and poses no immediate threat to any land areas over the next 5 days. Something to watch, not something to stress over at this point. I’ll keep you posted.
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See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Have a wonderful day!