P.M. SHOWERS & STORMS TODAY; DRIER PATTERN STARTS SUNDAY… Occasional showers and thunderstorms will be possible on this Wednesday, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Widespread severe thunderstorms are not expected and the tornado risk today remains at or near zero. We note the Storm Prediction Center has all of our local area involved in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk today due to a chance of a few storms that could produce gusty winds and hail. High temperatures on this Wednesday will again be in the 80s. The next few days will feature more of the same with a chance of thunderstorms each afternoon. Drier conditions are expected starting on Sunday. We’re also monitoring a system near the Florida Peninsula (on the Atlantic side) that has a low-end chance of becoming a tropical storm before the system moves into the Carolinas later this week. Let’s look at your forecast details.
FEW STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING… Most of the thunderstorms that fire up later today will feature loud thunder and heavy rain. There is a chance that a few of the storms may become stronger and produce gusty winds and perhaps a few damaging wind gusts. It is often the case around here in the summertime: Very little to no tornado risk. That holds true today. There is plenty of fuel/instability for storms to work with but very little in the way of upper-level wind support. I’ll have updates as needed throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app.
RAIN & STORMS AT TIMES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS… Our weather pattern will remain consistent through Saturday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day across the region. Any stronger storms that can fire up will produce very heavy rain, gusty winds, and perhaps even some small hail.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF FLORIDA… The National Hurricane Center continues to indicate there is a chance (30-40%) of a tropical storm forming east of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina over the next few days as an area of low pressure lifts northward. From NHC: “Showers and thunderstorms located over extreme northeastern Florida, adjacent Atlantic waters, and the northwestern Bahamas are associated with an elongated surface trough interacting with an upper-level disturbance. Although a weak surface low has formed within the trough near Orlando, Florida, little if any further development of this system is expected due to land interaction, strong upper-level winds, and an abundance of dry air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. The broad disturbance is forecast to move northward today and Wednesday, remaining inland or near the coasts of northeastern Florida and Georgia.”
REST OF ATLANTIC BASIN REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW… The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean (other than the previously mentioned system near the Florida Peninsula in the paragraph above) are quiet right now with no tropical storm formation expected in the next 5-7 days.
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See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!