FEW STORMS THIS EVENING; MORE POP-UP STORMS ON MONDAY… Isolated thunderstorms continue to pop up across the region on this Sunday evening. We had a few stronger storms in parts of Butler County earlier this afternoon that prompted multiple severe thunderstorm warnings and downed a few trees northeast of Greenville. At the time this video is being produced around 6:45PM, heavy rain is happening in parts of Washington and Clarke counties in west Alabama. A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect for the next few minutes for parts of Choctaw County near Gilbertown and Butler. Rain and storms will gradually fade away after sunset. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to happen on Monday during the afternoon and evening hours ahead of a seasonal late June and early July pattern. Heat, humidity, and P.M. storms will likely be recurring headlines over the next few days. We’re also watching a tropical wave way out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean that has a low-end chance of developing into a tropical system. Let’s look at details…
SCATTERED STORMS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY… Our weather pattern will essentially be on repeat over the next few days. Sunshine in the morning will give way to increasingly cloudy skies around lunchtime. Afternoon and evening pop-up storms will happen each day in a seemingly random pattern. Some of the storms may produce torrential downpours of rain, gusty winds, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. Widespread severe weather, however, is not expected. High temperatures will consistently be around the 90 degree mark with morning lows in the lower-70s.
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TOWARD 4TH OF JULY… Model guidance has consistently suggested an uptick in the way of shower and thunderstorm coverage later this week as we approach Independence Day on Saturday. We probably won’t have an “all day washout,” but there will inevitably be a few storms around on Friday, Saturday, and into Sunday.
TROPICAL UPDATE 1 OF 2: TROPICAL WAVE IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center has highlighted a tropical wave, currently situated between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, that has a low-end (20%) chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next few days. Odds are this system will fade away and remain a general tropical wave with no major impacts. There is a small chance that a circulation center may form a bit farther to the south in the tropical wave and ultimately briefly spin-up into a tropical storm. If that scenario happens, we’ll have to keep an eye on the system as it moves to the west. Regardless of development, no impacts from this system are expected in south Alabama or northwest Florida over the next 7 days.
TROPICAL UPDATE 2 OF 2: LOW PRESSURE TO DEVELOP IN ATLANTIC… The other area of concern in the Atlantic Basin is a stalled frontal boundary situated between Bermuda and the East Coast of the U.S. This system could form an area of low pressure that could become a tropical storm as it moves eastward and out to sea, very similar to what happened last week with Tropical Storm Dolly. No impacts for our local area from that system, regardless of if formal development happens.
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See all the details in your Sunday evening #rzw forecast video… My next detailed forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM on Monday. See you then!