REPEAT FORECAST TODAY: POP-UP STORMS, HEAT, HUMIDITY… Pop-up showers and thunderstorms will form later this afternoon into this evening as our seasonal summertime pattern continues across south Alabama and northwest Florida. If you did not have rain yesterday, you’ll have somewhat of a chance today as we maintain a 40-50% chance of rain for any given spot across the region. These pop-up, pulse variety of thunderstorms can be intense with cloud-to-ground lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rain. Widespread severe weather is NOT expected today and the tornado risk remains at or near zero. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-90s today with heat index values in the upper-90s and near 100°. We’re also watching a tropical wave in the Atlantic this morning. Let’s look at all of your forecast details…
POP-UP STORMS EACH DAY THIS WEEK… Morning sunshine will give way to increasing cloudiness each day ahead of a chance of showers and thunderstorms primarily in the afternoon and evening hours over the next several days and into the upcoming weekend. It is often the case around here during the summer months that these pop-up storms can be strong, but the storms of summer usually remain below severe limits. If severe storms are uncommon in summer, tornadoes are down right rare. They CAN happen, but it is a highly unusual occurrence. High temperatures are slated to remain in the low-90s over the next few days with morning lows in the low- to mid-70s.
GROWING RAIN CHANCES FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY… We’ll have an enhanced chance of rain and storms as we go into the upcoming weekend. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected each day. For now, we’ll call it a 70% chance of rain for the 4th of July Independence Day holiday on Saturday. This likely won’t be an all day rain event, but instead seemingly random pop-up thunderstorms that primarily happen in the evening hours.
TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES… The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says INVEST 96L, located east of the Lesser Antilles, has only a very low (10%) chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next few days. 96L is a tropical wave located in the open waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. From NHC: “Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands are associated with a tropical wave. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph. Strong upper-level winds are forecast to inhibit further development by mid-week.”
LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE U.S. EAST COAST… NHC is also monitoring an area of disturbed weather in between Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States. Regardless of formal development (only a 20% chance of that happening), the system won’t ever be a direct issue for Alabama or northwest Florida. From the NHC discussion: “An area of low pressure is forecast to form off of the southeastern coast of the United States on Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible later this week while it moves generally northeastward well offshore of the east coast of the United States.”
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See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Enjoy the day!