RAIN & THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; MORE RAIN THURSDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Wednesday. A few storms are possible this morning, but storms will likely be most numerous across the region this afternoon into this evening. The Storm Prediction Center maintains a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk for parts of our area this morning due to a very low-end chance of a few stronger storms capable of producing gusty winds and hail. The overall tornado risk remains quite low today. The next few days are likely to be unsettled with multiple chances of rain and storms ahead, particularly today, tomorrow, and on Saturday. I’ve got all of your Wednesday morning forecast details below.
LOW-END, LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) SEVERE WEATHER RISK… The Storm Prediction Center includes part of our local area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for today into the evening hours. Parts of Baldwin, Mobile, and Escambia (FL) counties are involved in this low-end risk zone with the remainder of our region remaining in the “general thunderstorms” zone where severe storms are far less likely. These communities are involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk: Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Creola, Mt. Vernon, Axis, Citronelle, Chunchula, Wilmer, West Mobile, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Sunny Cove, Navco, Dauphin Island, Spanish Fort, Montrose, Daphne, Fairhope, Point Clear, Magnolia Springs, Elberta, Foley, Summerdale, Robertsdale, Bon Secour, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan, Elsanor, Loxley, Bay Minette, Stapleton, Stockton, Perdido, Gateswood, Pensacola, Warrington, NAS Pensacola, Gulf Breeze, Perdido Key, Beulah, Bellview, Cantonment, Gonzalez, and surrounding areas.
MORE RAIN & STORMS AHEAD ON THURSDAY… Another batch of showers and thunderstorms is ahead on Thursday. Timing on this feature is a bit uncertain, but right now it looks like the late morning hours could be particularly wet. High temperatures on Thursday will be in the low- to mid-70s. Widespread severe weather is not expected Thursday, but there could be a few thunderstorms around that produce very heavy rain and quite a bit of thunder.
MOSTLY CLOUDY W/ LOWER RAIN CHANCE FRIDAY… Rain chances will be lower, but not at zero, for Friday. Showers will continue to filter in from the west, meaning areas closer to the coast could be wet at times on Friday. High temperatures on Friday will again be in the low- to mid-70s.
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS ON SATURDAY… Scattered thunderstorms are in the forecast for Saturday. While I do not expect this system to be anything like what happened last Saturday in the early morning hours with all of the massive hailstones and damaging wind gusts, there COULD be a few stronger storms capable of producing hail up to the size of a quarter and perhaps a few storms with gusty winds involved.
LINGERING SHOWERS ON SUNDAY… We begin to “see the light at the end of the tunnel” on Sunday. Showers will be possible on Sunday, but I expect rain and storms to gradually taper off ahead of drier days setting up for early next week.
DRIER PATTERN SETS UP FOR NEXT WEEK… We finally get a break from the rain and storms early next week as an area of high pressure builds in. Lingering clouds are possible on Monday, but Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week should be dry and nice. Highs will likely be in the upper-70s.
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See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!