6:53AM October 22, 2021

CLEARING SKIES TODAY & WARM WEEKEND; STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE MIDWEEK… Cloud cover will continue to diminish on this Friday as we look ahead to a weekend with beautiful weather. We are tracking a few showers and storms in northwest Florida this morning but these storms will quickly move out of our region by 10AM. High temperatures today will be in the mid-80s. Plenty of sunshine is ahead for Saturday and Sunday ahead of an increasing chance of rain and storms on Monday. We’re also looking ahead to the middle part of the upcoming week when strong to severe thunderstorms may become possible ahead of a cold front slated to move through our region. I’ve got all of your Friday morning forecast notes below.

STORMS AROUND THIS MORNING… Thunderstorms were “loud and proud” this morning near Monroeville, Uriah, Repton, Atmore, Evergreen, Brewton, and Century as a frontal boundary moved through these communities. No severe weather happened, but pea size hail was reported near Atmore around 6AM. What is left of these storms is now moving across northwest Florida with rain noted as of 7AM near Pensacola, Milton, and Crestview. These storms will continue to move southeast and ultimately will move out of area by 10AM at the latest.

NICE WEATHER FOR HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL TONIGHT… Mostly clear skies are in the forecast this evening for all of the high school football games slated to kick off at 7PM. Temperatures will be in the 68-71° range at kickoff with temperatures falling into the mid-60s by 9PM. No rain is expected at the games tonight.

SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND SUNDAY… Mostly sunny skies are ahead for the weekend on both Saturday and on Sunday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-80s each day with morning lows expected to be near 60.

RAIN RETURNS NEXT WEEK; STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY… Scattered thunderstorms will become more numerous on Monday ahead of a likely break from the rain on Tuesday. A cold front will spark off scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday into early Thursday. That is when we have a developing risk of a few strong to severe thunderstorms.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK WEDNESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included all of south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight severe weather risk valid for Wednesday, October 27. The concern is that a few strong to severe thunderstorms may develop out ahead of an advancing cold front slated to bring cooler, drier air into our region. Tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail will be possible in some of the stronger storms on Wednesday. While it is a bit too early to get into the specifics, Wednesday afternoon and evening seems to be the time in which the severe weather risk will likely be maximized. I will have another post later today detailing this developing risk.

NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE NEXT WEEK… If you are missing the cooler weather we had earlier in the week, don’t fret! We have another cold front slated to move across our region. This cold front will likely move across the region on Thursday, ushering in cooler, drier air. High temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-70s with overnight lows in the 50s by the end of the upcoming week.

TROPICS TO REMAIN QUIET… The entirety of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet with no tropical storms or hurricanes expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, or Atlantic Ocean over the next 5-7 days. The core of hurricane season is now behind us. It remains to be seen whether we will have more tropical systems. Some of the global weather models show a potential tropical storm developing in the eastern Caribbean Sea in about a week. Plenty of time between now and then to keep an eye on trends and certainly nothing to worry about or think twice about, for now.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I’ve got all of your forecast details in your Friday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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