6:59AM May 31, 2023

P.M. SCATTERED STORMS TODAY; DISTURBANCE IN GULF MOVING EAST… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop up in the afternoon and evening hours on this Wednesday. Not every community will have rain before the end of the day but be aware that where storms do fire up, downpours are likely. Widespread severe weather is not expected today and the tornado risk remains near zero. The stronger pop-up storms today will produce cloud-to-ground lightning, loud thunder, gusty winds, and torrential downpours of rain. Rain chances will be even higher tomorrow (Thursday) as a tropical disturbance flings in more Gulf moisture into our region.

DISTURBANCE IN CENTRAL GULF TO MOVE EAST… The National Hurricane Center (NHC) indicates there is a 20% chance of a tropical storm forming near the Florida Peninsula (not the Panhandle where we are) in the days ahead. This system will cause an increased risk of rip currents locally and higher rain chances Thursday. From NHC: “An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated with a surface trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level trough over the central Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for additional development over the next several days as the system meanders over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.The system is then forecast to move across the Florida Peninsula this weekend and emerge into the southwestern Atlantic Ocean by early next week. Regardless of development, the system could produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the Florida Peninsula later this week.”

MORE POP-UP STORMS LOCALLY THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND… Thursday will feature scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms ahead of more P.M. pop-up storms on Friday and into the weekend. The good news is there are currently no signs of any organized severe weather events anytime soon. The bad news is some of the pop-up storms each day may be strong, with gusty winds, lightning, loud thunder, and heavy rain being possible. No real way to pinpoint where these summertime storms will form, but be aware of the potential for storms each day. Most of these storms will happen in the afternoon and evening hours during the peak heat hours. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-80s in the days ahead.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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