Regarding tomorrow's tornado threat, it's important to remember the background climatology.
According to research by Thompson et al. 2012, a great discriminator between sig. QLCS and supercell tornado environments is MLCAPE.
Tomorrow's MLCAPE is upper quartile for winter time. pic.twitter.com/gKYXmbUHMx
— Gabe Garfield (@WxGabe) January 8, 2024